職稱英語閱讀理解習題
PASSAGE 26 Looking to the Future
When a magazine for high-school students asked its readers what life would be like in twenty years, they said: Machines would be run by solar power. Buildings would rotate so they could follow the sun to take maximum advantage of its light and heat Walls would radiate light and change color with the push of a button. Food would be replaced by pills. School would be taught by electrical impulse while we sleep. Cars would have radar. Does this sound like the year 2000? Actually, the article was written in 1958 and the question was, what will life be like in 1978?
The future is much too important to simply guess about, the way the high school students did, so experts are regularly asked to predict accurately. By carefully studying the present, skilled businessmen, scientists, and politicians are supposedly able to figure out in advance what will happen. But can they? One expert on cities wrote: Cities of the future would not be crowded, but would have space for farms and fields. People would travel to work in airbuses, large all-weather helicopters carrying up to 200 passengers. When a person left the airbus station he could drive a coin-operated car equipped with radar. The radar equipment of cars would make traffic accidents almost unheard of. Does that sound familiar? If the expert had been accurate it would, because he was writing in 1957. His subject was The city of 1982.
If the professionals sometimes sound like high-school students, its probably because future study is still a new field. But economic forecasting, or predicting what the economy will do, has been around for a long time. It should be accurate, and generally it is. But there have been some big market in the field, too. In early 1929, most forecasters saw an excellent future for the stock market. In October of that year, the stock market had its worst losses ever, ruining thousands of investors who had put their faith in financial foreseers.
One forecaster knew that predictions about the future would always be subject to significant error. In 1957, H.J.Rand of the Rad corporation was asked about the year 2000, "Only one thing is certain," he answered. "Children born today will have reached the age of 43."
當雜志高中學生問讀者什么生活會在二十年內(nèi),就像他們說:機器將運行的太陽能。建筑將使他們能跟隨太陽轉(zhuǎn)動,以最大限度地利用它的光和熱的墻壁“發(fā)光”和“改變顏色的按鈕!笔称穼⑷〈。學校會教”的沖動,而我們的睡眠。”汽車將雷達。這聽起來像是2000年?實際上,這篇文章是寫在1958和問題,“1978的生活會是什么樣的?”
未來很重要,只是猜測,這樣的高中學生,所以專家們經(jīng)常要求準確預測。通過仔細研究本,熟練的商人和政治家,科學家,理應能夠提前弄明白將要發(fā)生什么。但他們會嗎?一位專家寫道:對城市未來的城市將不擁擠,但會有空間和領域。人們旅游的工作“空中客車”,大型全天候直升機載有200名乘客。當一個人離開了空中客車站他能開車投幣車配備雷達。雷達設備的汽車將使交通事故“幾乎沒有”。聽起來耳熟嗎?如果專家已經(jīng)準確的它,因為他所寫的1957。他的主題是“1982市”。
如果專業(yè)人員有時聽起來像高中的學生,這可能是因為未來的研究還是一個新的領域。但經(jīng)濟預測,或預測經(jīng)濟會做的,已經(jīng)很長時間了。它應該是準確的,一般是。但也有一些在該領域的大市場,太。1929年初,大多數(shù)觀察家看到一個優(yōu)秀的未來股票市場。在這一年的十月,股市有其最嚴重的損失,破壞了投資者把他們的信仰在金融foreseers千。
一員知道,預測未來將永遠受到重大錯誤。1957,在RAD公司h.j.rand是大約2000年問,“只有一件事是肯定的,”他回答說。”孩子天生的今天將達到43歲!
1. The high-school students' answers to "What would life be like in 1978?" sound
A) accurate.
B) imaginative.
C) correct.
D) foolish.
2. According to the writer, forecasting is fairly accurate in
A) politics.
B) science.
C) sociology.
D) economy.
3. Which of the following statements is not compatible with the writer's comment on future study?
A) Predictions should be accurate
B) Professional sometimes sound like high-school students
C) There have been some big mistakes in the field of economic forecasting.
D) Predictions about future would always be subject to significant errors.
4. The passage "Looking to the Future" was most probably written
A) in 1982
B) in 1958
C) after 1958
D) in 1957
5. H.J.Rand's prediction about the year 2000 shows that
A) it is easy to figure out in advance what will happen
B) it is difficult to figure out in advance what will happen
C) only professionals can figure out in advance what will happen
D) very few professionals figure out in advance what will happen
KEY: BDACB
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